PDF下载

[1]魏心源尹小华谢佳刘懿刘杨陈湘.三级公立医院医师人力资源需求测算指标体系构建及应用[J].中国卫生质量管理,2026,33(2):69-73.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2026.33.2.14]
　WEI Xinyuan,YIN Xiaohua,XIE Jia.Construction and Application of an Index System for Measuring Physician Human Resource Demand in Tertiary Public Hospitals[J].Chinese Health Quality Management,2026,33(2):69-73.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2026.33.2.14]

点击复制

三级公立医院医师人力资源需求测算指标体系构建及应用

《中国卫生质量管理》[ISSN:1006-7515/CN:CN 61-1283/R] 卷: 33 期数: 2026年2期页码: 69-73 栏目: 人力资源管理出版日期: 2026-02-15

Title:: Construction and Application of an Index System for Measuring Physician Human Resource Demand in Tertiary Public Hospitals

作者:: 魏心源尹小华谢佳刘懿刘杨陈湘; 绵阳市中心医院

Author(s):: WEI Xinyuan; YIN Xiaohua; XIE Jia; Mianyang Central Hospital

关键词:: 医师; 人力资源; 需求测算; 三级公立医院

Keywords:: Physicians; Human Resources; Demand Measurement; Tertiary Public Hospitals

分类号:: 197.323

DOI:: 10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2026.33.2.14

文献标志码:: A

摘要:: 目的构建医师人力资源需求测算指标体系并应用，促进医院人力资源科学化管理。方法采用德尔菲法构建医师人力资源需求测算指标体系，使用灰色GM（1,1）模型对指标体系中的医师工作负荷指标值进行预测，使用转换比率法计算指标体系中的医师人力资源盈缺情况。选取某三级公立医院某外科科室进行实证应用。结果通过两轮专家咨询构建包含人力资源现状、医疗服务效率、运营与发展3个维度21个指标的医师人力资源需求测算指标体系。应用指标体系分析该科室2017-2024年相关数据，预测2025年医疗服务量增长，预测效果均为合格及以上；测算该科室2025年度医师人数需求增量为1.01人，综合运营效益及发展战略，最终确定该科室补充2名博士人才。结论构建的医师人力资源需求测算指标体系具有科学性和可操作性，能够为医师人力资源的合理配置提供参考。

Abstract:: ObjectiveTo construct and apply an index system for measuring physician human resource demand, thereby promoting scientific management of hospital human resources.MethodsThe Delphi method was used to establish the index system for measuring physician human resource demand. The grey GM(1,1) model was employed to predict physician workload indicator values within the system, while the conversion ratio method was utilized to calculate the surplus or shortage of physician human resources based on the index system. An empirical application was conducted in a surgical department of a tertiary public hospital.ResultsThrough two rounds of expert consultations, an index system for measuring physician human resource demand was constructed, encompassing 21 indicators across three dimensions: current human resource status, medical service efficiency, and operations and development. Analysis of the department’s relevant data from 2017 to 2024 using the index system revealed that the predicted growth in medical service volume for 2025 met or exceeded acceptable standards; the calculated incremental demand for physicians in the department for 2025 was 1.01 individuals. Considering comprehensive operational efficiency and development strategies, it was ultimately determined to supplement the department with two doctoral-level talents.Conclusion The constructed index system for measuring physician human resource demand is scientifically sound and operationally feasible, providing a reference for the rational allocation of physician human resources.

参考文献/References:

［1］冯海.新形势下公立医院人才管理体系建设实践探讨［J］.中国医院,2023,27(9):85-87.［2］胡月,李倩,谭琳,等. 基于德尔菲法对护理硕士专业学位研究生临床思维能力评价指标体系的构建［J］. 护理学报,2018,25(7):1-5. ［3］梁冰华,黄李凤.基于GM(1,1)灰色预测模型的中国医疗卫生资源预测分析［J］.现代预防医学,2021,48(20):3655-3659.［4］杨俊杰,乐忠强,王紫，等.转换比率法在医师人力资源需求预测中的应用［J］.中国卫生质量管理,2021,28(5):48-51.［5］王静,秦天燕,史发林,等.基于医务人员视角的医患关系现状及影响因素调查［J］.临床医学研究与实践,2024,9(6):13-16.［6］罗力,熊雪晨,周奕男,等.引入合理冗余因素的医生需求测算方法研究［J］.中国医院管理,2016,36(9):8-11.［7］严瀚,蔡艳姬,欧振宇,等.基于临床工作量的三甲医院医师人力资源编制测算的实践与思考［J］.中国医院统计,2018,25(6):434-436，440.［8］李俊毅.武汉市儿科医师资源配置现状及优化策略研究［D］.武汉：华中科技大学,2020.［9］卢佳月,彭磊,程远远,等.基于CRITIC法和转换比率法的公立医院医师需求测算研究［J］.医院管理论坛,2023,40(11):75-79.［10］李晓苑,江丰,罗丽珊,等.基于服务量的多院区医院人力资源需求预测研究［J］.医院管理论坛,2025,42(2):67-71.

相似文献/References:

[1]杨学伟胥翔*王文娟陆耀良朱立国江菲王圣清.江苏省疾病预防控制中心人力资源分布现状分析[J].中国卫生质量管理,2017,24(02):111.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2017.24.2.34]
[2]许春雁胡延孟.新疆某大型综合医院岗位设置现状与对策分析[J].中国卫生质量管理,2017,24(06):117.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2017.24.6.38]
[3]叶俊英王欢吴昊张华马翔宇张文华.医师职业倦怠影响因素的meta分析[J].中国卫生质量管理,2018,25(04):70.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2018.25.4.23]
[4]王晓燕李小玉余静江凤琼廖敏张慧王文益张正江刘茂兰张燕徐海彦.绵阳地区儿科资源配置现状分析[J].中国卫生质量管理,2018,25(06):131.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2018.25.6.38]
[5]潘毅慧刘登王丽萍.上海市基层社区家庭病床人力资源现状调查和分析[J].中国卫生质量管理,2019,26(02):16.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2019.26.2.06]
[6]李曼琪方鹏骞.湖北省卫生综合监督人力资源配置分析及对策[J].中国卫生质量管理,2019,26(04):131.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2019.26.4.36]
[7]刘雅车文芳王婧赵书敏辛霞.县级医院护理质量与安全管理现状分析[J].中国卫生质量管理,2020,27(01):94.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2020.27.1.24]
[8]路建超张克俭刘红英郭强王忠立槐玺龙晁晖.宝鸡市医用放射人力资源现状研究[J].中国卫生质量管理,2020,27(06):114.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2020.27.6.28 ]
　LU Jianchao,ZHANG Kejian,LIU Hongying,et al.Medical Radiation Human Resources in Baoji City: A Cross-Sectional Study[J].Chinese Health Quality Management,2020,27(2):114.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2020.27.6.28 ]
[9]杨廷龙马玲孙陶邢泽红杨丽媛冯娟冯琳杨帆何治平张炜.某院三级查房考核质量分析[J].中国卫生质量管理,2021,28(08):24.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2021.28.8.07 ]
　YANG Tinglong,MA Ling,SUN Tao.Quality Analysis of Tertiary Ward Round Assessment in a Hospital[J].Chinese Health Quality Management,2021,28(2):24.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2021.28.8.07 ]
[10]陶秋艳马旭东芮曦李奇李尊柱苏龙翔王璐孙建华罗红波马千惠王金阁张媛媛马鸿鸣周翔刘大为.ICU护理人力资源配置对脓毒症休克集束化治疗完成率的影响[J].中国卫生质量管理,2021,28(08):43.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2021.28.8.12 ]
　TAO Qiuyan,MA Xudong,RUI Xi.Effect of ICU Nursing Manpower Allocation on the Completion Rate of Cluster Therapy for Septic Shock[J].Chinese Health Quality Management,2021,28(2):43.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2021.28.8.12 ]
[11]杨俊杰乐忠强王紫刘洁.转换比率法在医师人力资源需求预测中的应用[J].中国卫生质量管理,2021,28(05):48.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2021.28.5.14 ]
　YANG Junjie,LE Zhongqiang,WANG Zi.Application of Conversion Ratio Method in Forecasting Physician Human Resource Requirements[J].Chinese Health Quality Management,2021,28(2):48.[doi:10.13912/j.cnki.chqm.2021.28.5.14 ]

更新日期/Last Update: 2026-02-15